2024 Presidential Prediction 538

2024 Presidential Prediction 538. Who’s ahead in national presidential polls? The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is.


2024 Presidential Prediction 538

It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Find out what the rules are, where you are.

The Poll Found That Donald Trump Leads Joe Biden 48 Percent To 42 Percent Among Registered Voters — A Gap That Has Grown From 2 Percent In Late February.

Donald trump has matched his best odds of winning the 2024 presidential race since we launched our forecast in may.

In A Race This Close, Robert F.

Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast.

2024 Presidential Prediction 538 Images References :

For 2024, 538 Built A New Presidential Election Forecast Model From The Ground Up.

Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used.

Updating Average For Each Candidate In 2024 Presidential Polls, Accounting For Each Poll's Recency, Sample Size, Methodology And House Effects.

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections.